Live · checked Just now
Live X signals, verified evidence, and reset history for the shared seven-day Codex quota.
beg you
6 days ago
Low signals — use your quota as usual
24 hours
48 hours
Paid early-warning emails require a 24h forecast of at least 80%.
87% reset hit rate27 of 31 confirmed resets anticipated
No supplied semantic evidence materially changes the evidence-free hazard. The only explicit global-reset commitment referred to the two source-local days following the October 30 Pacific post, and that window is already over. The forecast therefore remains at the empirical baseline: 29% within 24 hours and 50% within 48 hours.
Not watching this page all day? Get an email within 10 minutes of the next confirmed reset — your first one is free.
Email me the next reset12 confirmed resets this month — we predicted 11 of them before they landed. Pick a day for the details.
Wednesday, October 28
Signal · 02:43 UTC
In the same conversation, the engineering lead strengthens the announcement with an upper-bound delivery commitment of midnight PST, corresponding to 2026-10-28T08:00:00Z. This is shortly after the forecast time and is not yet elapsed.
24h +14.0 pts · 48h +8.0 pts
Tibo @thsottiaux
Replying to Tibo: Day 23/ Much requested iCloud Main & Calendar plugins. Just kidding, today is a reset. Still much requested though!
Lands by midnight PST.
View original post on XConfirmed · 06:29 UTC
The author's earlier same-day post explicitly announced “today is a reset,” followed by “Lands by midnight PST.” The current “And it's done” is an unambiguous completion update for that announced Codex reset. No more precise completion time is given, so the completion post timestamp is used.
Applies to: Shared/global Codex quota
We called it · 2 days ahead
Our 48h estimate was at or above 30% from Oct 26, 06:49 UTC and stood at 97% just before the reset.
A day is marked confirmed only when Tibo or an official OpenAI account says so publicly. Everything else is a signal.
A Codex reset is a global or plan-scoped refresh of usage limits. It is different from a user’s normal rolling quota window.
This monitor focuses on resets announced or observed across a broad group of Codex users, not an individual account’s routine recovery.
Tibo Sottiaux is one of the first-party sources this monitor checks. A post or reply counts as a confirmed Codex reset only when it explicitly describes a global or broad reset; hints, capacity updates, and personal quota timers remain unconfirmed signals.
No. A Codex usage reset may describe a broad reset announced for many users, while a weekly limit reset is the scheduled recovery shown for an individual account. This monitor separates shared reset evidence from personal quota timing.
There is no guaranteed public schedule. GPT-5.6 estimates the rolling 24h and 48h probabilities from the last confirmed reset, reset history, public posts and replies, stated timing, and limited account telemetry.
With no predictive X signal after the latest confirmed reset, the site uses the empirical 24h and 48h reset-cadence baseline. When new semantic evidence appears, GPT-5.6 reads its timing, scope, wording, reply context, history, and limited account telemetry, then adjusts the estimate from that baseline. The previous displayed probability is withheld to reduce anchoring. High-impact estimates receive an independent GPT review. Results remain experimental until enough resolved forecasts pass the published calibration gate.
No. Codex Reset Monitor is an independent project that organizes public evidence and links back to every source.
Independent monitor. Not affiliated with OpenAI. Experimental forecast probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
